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Thomas McGregor

Monetary Policy

Division

Monetary Policy Strategy

Current Position

Externals

Fields of interest

Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics,International Economics,Economic Growth

Email

thomas.mcgregor@ecb.europa.eu

Education
2013-2017

PhD in Macroeconomics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom

Professional experience
2017-2022

Economist - International Monetary Fund

2016-2016

Economist - J.P. Morgan

2015-2015

Economist - Neptune Investment Management

2011-2013

Economic Advisor - Department for International Development

2009-2010

Senior Economist - National Treasury of South Africa

2008-2009

Economist - HM Revenue and Customs

30 June 2025
OCCASIONAL PAPER SERIES - No. 372
Workstream 2: Monetary Policy Tools, Strategy and Communication
Details
Abstract
This report focuses on the implications of the changed inflation environment for the ECB’s monetary policy strategy, including the lessons learned from both the low inflation and high inflation periods, and the transition from one to the other. The starting point of the report is the outcome of the Monetary Policy Strategy Review 2020-21. While the previous review was conducted in an economic environment of low inflation, with interest rates in proximity to the effective lower bound (ELB), the inflation surge that followed the COVID-19 pandemic underscores the importance of a monetary policy strategy that enables the Governing Council to effectively respond to major changes in the inflation environment.
30 June 2025
OCCASIONAL PAPER SERIES - No. 371
Workstream 1: Changing economic and inflation environment
Details
Abstract
This report offers a strategic view on the economic and inflation environment in the euro area as part of the monetary policy strategy assessment 2025. It reassesses the factors shaping the inflation and economic environment in light of the recent inflation experience, analyses changes in structural factors and examines the implications for the inflation environment the ECB is likely to face. It also draws conclusions regarding the enhancements that need to be made to the existing analytical toolkit and inflation forecasting.
16 December 2024
THE ECB BLOG
Details
JEL Code
E31 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles→Price Level, Inflation, Deflation
E42 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Money and Interest Rates→Monetary Systems, Standards, Regimes, Government and the Monetary System, Payment Systems
E47 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Money and Interest Rates→Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
E52 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit→Monetary Policy
25 September 2024
THE ECB BLOG
31 July 2024
THE ECB BLOG
Details
JEL Code
E50 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit→General
E59 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit→Other
9 August 2023
THE ECB BLOG
Details
JEL Code
E52 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit→Monetary Policy
E58 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit→Central Banks and Their Policies
D53 : Microeconomics→General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium→Financial Markets