content here is the anonymously transparent proxied version of ecb.europa.eu   X
Opțiuni de căutare
Pagina inițială Media Materiale explicative Studii și publicații Statistici Politică monetară Euro Plăți și piețe Cariere
Sugestii
Sortează în funcție de

BLOGUL BCE

Europa are puncte forte pe care le poate valorifica

Europa dispune de fundamente economice solide, însă trebuie să acționeze acum, când competitivitatea sa este în pericol, scriu președinta Christine Lagarde și președinta Ursula von der Leyen. Acestea precizează care sunt schimbările necesare pentru restabilirea competitivității Europei.

Citește articolul publicat pe blog

INSERTED BY ANONYMOUS PROXY

Civil war declaration: On April 14th and 15th, 2012 Federal Republic of Germany "_urkenstaats"s parliament, Deutscher Bundestag, received a antifiscal written civil war declaration by Federal Republic of Germany "Rechtsstaat"s electronic resistance for human rights even though the "Widerstandsfall" according to article 20 paragraph 4 of the constitution, the "Grundgesetz", had been already declared in the years 2001-03. more

COMUNICAT DE PRESĂ 31 ianuarie 2025

Motivele preselectate pentru bancnotele viitoare

În urma feedbackului primit din sondaje publice și de la grupuri de experți, Consiliul guvernatorilor BCE a selectat o serie de motive posibile bazate pe cele două teme alese, „Cultura europeană” și „Râuri și păsări”. Un concurs de grafică lansat în lunile următoare ne va ajuta să selectăm elementele grafice finale în 2026.

Citește comunicatul de presă
PUBLICAȚIE 31 ianuarie 2025

Raportul BCE/CERS privind politica macroprudențială

Constituirea unor rezerve de capital care să poată fi mobilizate în perioadele caracterizate de tensiuni este esențială pentru stabilitatea financiară. BCE și CERS au publicat un raport comun privind experiența țărilor din SEE care au utilizat amortizorul anticiclic de capital pentru a consolida reziliența într-o fază timpurie a ciclului.

Comunicat de presă
EVENIMENT 28 ianuarie 2025

Ziua Internațională de Comemorare a Victimelor Holocaustului

Cu ocazia Zilei Internaționale de Comemorare a Victimelor Holocaustului, am comemorat milioanele de vieți pierdute în Holocaust. Amplasamentul Grossmarkthalle, actualmente parte a sediului BCE, este un memento cutremurător al acestei pagini din istorie. Anul acesta, la fel ca în fiecare an, trebuie să dăm dovadă în continuare de vigilență și să rămânem uniți în fața urii și a antisemitismului.

31 January 2025
GOVERNING COUNCIL DECISIONS - OTHER DECISIONS
31 January 2025
PRESS RELEASE
31 January 2025
PRESS RELEASE
31 January 2025
PRESS RELEASE
Deutsch
OTHER LANGUAGES (1) +
Select your language
31 January 2025
PRESS RELEASE
30 January 2025
Christine Lagarde, President of the ECB, Luis de Guindos, Vice-President of the ECB, Frankfurt am Main, 30 January 2025
27 January 2025
Lamfalussy Lecture by Christine Lagarde, President of the ECB, at the Lamfalussy Lectures Conference organised by the Magyar Nemzeti Bank, pre-recorded in Frankfurt am Main on 15 January 2025
17 January 2025
Slides by Piero Cipollone, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, at Crypto Asset Lab conference organised by the University of Milano-Bicocca
15 January 2025
Speech by Luis de Guindos, Vice-President of the ECB, at the 15th edition of Spain Investors Day
14 January 2025
Slides by Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, at HKIMR-ECB-BOFIT Joint Conference “Europe, Asia and the Changing Global Economy” in Hong Kong
17 January 2025
Interview with Frank Elderson, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB and Vice-Chair of the Supervisory Board of the ECB, conducted by Arend Clahsen and Han Dirk Hekking
English
OTHER LANGUAGES (1) +
Select your language
13 January 2025
Interview with Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, conducted by András Szigetvari
English
OTHER LANGUAGES (1) +
Select your language
9 January 2025
Interview with Piero Cipollone, conducted by Federico Fubini
20 December 2024
Interview with Luis de Guindos, Vice-President of the ECB, conducted by Wouter van Bergen and Martin Visser
English
OTHER LANGUAGES (1) +
Select your language
4 December 2024
Contribution by Christine Lagarde, President of the ECB to The Economist
1 February 2025
Remaining competitive is fundamental for Europe’s future. We need faster economic growth and higher productivity to protect the quality of life for Europeans – from their jobs and incomes to their security and welfare.
20 January 2025
Stress tests are of crucial importance to assess banks’ resilience under adverse economic conditions. In previous stress tests, however, some banks submitted overly optimistic projections. Despite thorough quality assurance by supervisors, this behaviour makes it more likely that the risks some banks face are underestimated. To address this, we are now taking a closer look at insufficiently prudent projection submissions. In line with our supervisory focus on banks’ risk data aggregation and reporting capabilities, we are also looking more closely at poor data quality issues in stress tests.
Details
JEL Code
G20 : Financial Economics→Financial Institutions and Services→General
15 January 2025
Central banks project future developments based on past data patterns and a set of assumptions. Crises can change economic structures, complicating this forecasting. The ECB Blog explains how scenario, risk and sensitivity analyses address the new uncertainty.
Details
JEL Code
E37 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles→Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
E47 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Money and Interest Rates→Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
C15 : Mathematical and Quantitative Methods→Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General→Statistical Simulation Methods: General
10 January 2025
Investments in R&D typically foster productivity growth. But the funding source matters. The ECB Blog shows that publicly funded R&D complements private investments and has greater effects on productivity growth because of its larger spillovers.
Details
JEL Code
O47 : Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth→Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity→Measurement of Economic Growth, Aggregate Productivity, Cross-Country Output Convergence
O30 : Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth→Technological Change, Research and Development, Intellectual Property Rights→General
H50 : Public Economics→National Government Expenditures and Related Policies→General
8 January 2025
The rise of working-from-home during the pandemic dramatically changed the way we organise work. And teleworking is transforming more than just our professional lives: The ECB Blog looks at how this shift is affecting the housing market and inequality.
Details
JEL Code
R21 : Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics→Household Analysis→Housing Demand
R31 : Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics→Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location→Housing Supply and Markets
J60 : Labor and Demographic Economics→Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers→General
3 February 2025
WORKING PAPER SERIES - No. 3017
Details
Abstract
We study the implications of deviations from covered interest rate parity for international capital flows using novel data covering euro-area derivatives and securities holdings. Consistent with a dynamic model of currency risk hedging, we document that investors’ holdings of USD bonds decrease following a widening in the USD-EUR cross-currency basis (CCB). This effect is driven by investors with larger FX rollover risk and hedging mandates, and it is robust to instrumenting the CCB. These shifts in bond demand significantly affect bond prices. Our findings shed light on a new determinant of international capital flows with important consequences for financial stability.
JEL Code
F21 : International Economics→International Factor Movements and International Business→International Investment, Long-Term Capital Movements
F31 : International Economics→International Finance→Foreign Exchange
G11 : Financial Economics→General Financial Markets→Portfolio Choice, Investment Decisions
G21 : Financial Economics→Financial Institutions and Services→Banks, Depository Institutions, Micro Finance Institutions, Mortgages
G22 : Financial Economics→Financial Institutions and Services→Insurance, Insurance Companies, Actuarial Studies
G23 : Financial Economics→Financial Institutions and Services→Non-bank Financial Institutions, Financial Instruments, Institutional Investors
E44 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Money and Interest Rates→Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
3 February 2025
WORKING PAPER SERIES - No. 3016
Details
Abstract
This paper explores the impact of the regulatory leverage ratio (LR) on banks’ demand for reserves and thus the pricing of overnight liquidity in the euro area money markets. We use daily transaction-level money market data during the period between January 2017 - February 2023 and examine the two major overnight money market segments – the unsecured and the secured one, distinguishing between over-the-counter (OTC) and CCP-cleared trades for the latter. We find a significant positive link between a bank’s LR and the spread between its money market borrowing rate and the DFR. Banks with a higher LR offer deposits at higher interest rates, thereby reducing the markdown vis-à-vis the DFR. The impact of the LR dampens during the period in which central bank reserves did not count towards the LR exposure measure (or the denominator of the ratio). It is stronger for G-SIBs, who need to comply with a G-SIB LR add-on on top of the minimum requirement applicable to all euro area banks. Moreover, the impact is weaker for CCP-cleared transactions compared to OTC trades, likely reflecting the possibility to net bilateral exposures if cleared via CCPs, which effectively allows banks to finance the respective gross money market exposures with a smaller share of Tier 1 capital.
JEL Code
G12 : Financial Economics→General Financial Markets→Asset Pricing, Trading Volume, Bond Interest Rates
G21 : Financial Economics→Financial Institutions and Services→Banks, Depository Institutions, Micro Finance Institutions, Mortgages
G28 : Financial Economics→Financial Institutions and Services→Government Policy and Regulation
3 February 2025
SURVEY OF MONETARY ANALYSTS - AGGREGATE RESULTS
31 January 2025
LETTERS TO MEPS
31 January 2025
OTHER PUBLICATION
31 January 2025
WORKING PAPER SERIES - No. 3015
Details
Abstract
This paper examines the great supply shock following the pandemic and the invasion of Ukraine, using a novel suite of supply indices. The suite has indices for the euro area total economy, euro area industries, sectors and countries. The suite also computes the contributions to the indices from supply drivers at origin, in transport, or at destination. The results from the suite show that the supply shock has had wide-spread effects, and that their dynamics have been industry-, sector- and country-specific. Supply conditions have been tighter for longer in the euro area than other areas, in automobile than digital and food industries, in services relative to other sectors, and in some countries than others. The drivers at home appear to account for an increasing share of the specificity at the end of the sample, and a broader data set helps to better capture these drivers. The results also confirm that the supply indices in the suite lag supply shocks and lead variables susceptible to the effects of supply shocks.
JEL Code
C43 : Mathematical and Quantitative Methods→Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics→Index Numbers and Aggregation
C82 : Mathematical and Quantitative Methods→Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology, Computer Programs→Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data, Data Access
E66 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook→General Outlook and Conditions
R32 : Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics→Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location→Other Spatial Production and Pricing Analysis
R41 : Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics→Transportation Economics→Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion, Safety and Accidents, Transportation Noise
31 January 2025
WORKING PAPER SERIES - No. 3014
Details
Abstract
This paper investigates the growth impact of the EU’s Structural, Cohesion and Pre-accession Funds. We look at a large sample of 27 EU countries and the UK, over a period of 1989 and 2020, essentially covering the full history of these funds. We show that the growth effect of the funds is conditional on institutional quality: the funds contribute to economic growth only in countries with strong institutions: low corruption, strong rule of law, effective governments, and strong regulatory quality.Our research have important messages for the expected economic impact of the Next Generation EU (NGEU) and the Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF). On the one hand, our findings highlight the risk that countries with weaker institutions – that also receive more funds - may use such funds less efficiently or wisely. On the other hand, countries that receive more RRF funds are also expected to introduce more structural reforms, some of which have the potential to improve institutional quality and thereby improve the effectiveness of the RRF and EU funds in general.
JEL Code
O11 : Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth→Economic Development→Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
O43 : Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth→Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity→Institutions and Growth
O47 : Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth→Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity→Measurement of Economic Growth, Aggregate Productivity, Cross-Country Output Convergence
31 January 2025
OTHER PUBLICATION
31 January 2025
ECONOMIC BULLETIN - BOX
Economic Bulletin Issue 1,
Details
Abstract
This box summarises the findings of recent contacts between ECB staff and representatives of 82 leading non-financial companies operating in the euro area. According to these exchanges, which took place between 6 and 14 January 2025, business momentum remained subdued at the turn of the year as confidence in the manufacturing sector remained low, while services activity was more resilient. Price growth was moderate but had picked up slightly, mainly on account of rising energy and transport prices. Wage growth was expected to slow further both this year and next.
JEL Code
E2 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy
E3 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
L2 : Industrial Organization→Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior
31 January 2025
SURVEY OF PROFESSIONAL FORECASTERS
Annexes
31 January 2025
ANNEX
28 January 2025
LEGAL ACT
28 January 2025
EURO AREA BANK LENDING SURVEY
Annexes
28 January 2025
EURO AREA BANK LENDING SURVEY - ANNEX
Related
28 January 2025
PRESS RELEASE
Deutsch
OTHER LANGUAGES (1) +
Select your language
27 January 2025
SURVEY ON THE ACCESS TO FINANCE OF ENTERPRISES IN THE EURO AREA
Annexes
27 January 2025
SAFE QUESTIONNAIRE
20 January 2025
OTHER PUBLICATION
16 January 2025
RESEARCH BULLETIN - No. 127
Details
Abstract
Housing affordability is at the centre of the political debate in many euro area countries. With steadily increasing rents and house prices still high relative to historical standards, many young households, particularly in large cities, are devoting an ever larger share of their income to housing expenses, and are finding it increasingly hard to access their desired size and quality of housing. At the same time, in the aftermath of the global financial crisis, many authorities tightened credit conditions by introducing limits to mortgage debt for banks or for borrowers themselves (borrower-based measures). These interventions were successful in improving financial stability, which was their key objective. In this article we point to an overlooked potential downside of these policies and other restrictive shocks to credit: limiting access to mortgage credit and, therefore, to homeownership, can spill over into the rental market, pushing up rents and having a negative welfare impact on some households – particularly the young and those on low incomes.
JEL Code
D15 : Microeconomics→Household Behavior and Family Economics
E21 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy→Consumption, Saving, Wealth
E30 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles→General
E51 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit→Money Supply, Credit, Money Multipliers
G51 : Financial Economics
15 January 2025
WORKING PAPER SERIES - No. 3013
Details
Abstract
Flexibility has progressively become a distinctive feature of the implementation of the Eurosystem’s asset purchases. In its many manifestations, flexibility has also been used by asset managers in the daily selection of sovereign bonds to limit the impact of asset purchases on repo market specialness. This study shows that, since the inception of the Public Sector Purchase Programme, flexible purchases of bonds greatly mitigated the Eurosystem’s footprint on the repo market.
JEL Code
E50 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit→General
E52 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit→Monetary Policy
E58 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit→Central Banks and Their Policies
G10 : Financial Economics→General Financial Markets→General
G18 : Financial Economics→General Financial Markets→Government Policy and Regulation
15 January 2025
MACROPRUDENTIAL BULLETIN - FOCUS - No. 26
Details
Abstract
This box studies how euro area investment funds use repurchase agreements and margin lending to build up leverage. Hedge funds are more likely to be leveraged in non-euro currencies sourced from foreign banks. On average, financial leverage is relatively low and diversified, though pockets of risk and strong connections with the banking sector warrant continued monitoring.
JEL Code
G11 : Financial Economics→General Financial Markets→Portfolio Choice, Investment Decisions
G15 : Financial Economics→General Financial Markets→International Financial Markets
G23 : Financial Economics→Financial Institutions and Services→Non-bank Financial Institutions, Financial Instruments, Institutional Investors
15 January 2025
MACROPRUDENTIAL BULLETIN - FOCUS - No. 26
Details
Abstract
Mandating the use of central clearing of government bond repos is one way to mitigate financial stability risks from the rise of the non-bank sector in these markets. By imposing stricter risk management practices, it can limit the build-up of excessive NBFI leverage ex ante and support intermediation capacity. However, its impact on market functioning and liquidity requires careful assessment.
JEL Code
G18, G23, G28 : Financial Economics→General Financial Markets→Government Policy and Regulation
15 January 2025
MACROPRUDENTIAL BULLETIN - ARTICLE - No. 26
Details
Abstract
The aim of this article is to assess the scale and systemic nature of counterparty credit risk (CCR) stemming from banks’ derivatives activities and securities financing transactions. Using supervisory data, along with data collected from the EU-wide stress test carried out by the European Banking Authority in 2023, the article analyses the distribution of CCR across banks. It focuses on the concentration of risk within specific bank business models and products, and on links between the banking and NBFI sectors. It also examines not only the role of collateral in risk mitigation but also its potential negative impact on systemic risk. Exposures to CCR are concentrated in a group of global systemically important banks (G-SIBs) and investment banks, which play a vital intermediation role in European financial markets. Banks’s counterparties mainly operate in the non-bank financial intermediation (NBFI) sector. To quantify systemic risk in a network of CCR exposures, we use stress test techniques to see how widely hypothetical defaults among more vulnerable NBFI counterparties may spread across the banking system. In such an event, banks under European banking supervision may face considerable losses.
JEL Code
G21 : Financial Economics→Financial Institutions and Services→Banks, Depository Institutions, Micro Finance Institutions, Mortgages
G23 : Financial Economics→Financial Institutions and Services→Non-bank Financial Institutions, Financial Instruments, Institutional Investors
15 January 2025
MACROPRUDENTIAL BULLETIN - ARTICLE - No. 26
Details
Abstract
We use transaction-level data on the euro area repo market to assess the impact of the Financial Stability Board’s (FSB) recommended minimum haircut framework on leverage in non-bank financial institutions. We find that it would affect larger and more leveraged entities the most, indicating its capability to make a meaningful contribution to addressing risks from leverage in non-bank financial institutions.
JEL Code
G18 : Financial Economics→General Financial Markets→Government Policy and Regulation
G23 : Financial Economics→Financial Institutions and Services→Non-bank Financial Institutions, Financial Instruments, Institutional Investors
G28 : Financial Economics→Financial Institutions and Services→Government Policy and Regulation

Ratele dobânzilor

Facilitatea de creditare marginală 3,15 %
Operațiuni principale de refinanțare (rată fixă) 2,90 %
Facilitatea de depozit 2,75 %
5 februarie 2025 Ratele dobânzilor reprezentative anterioare ale BCE

Rata inflației

Mai mult despre inflație

Cursuri de schimb

USD US dollar 1.0274
JPY Japanese yen 158.87
GBP Pound sterling 0.83136
CHF Swiss franc 0.9393
Ultima actualizare: 3 februarie 2025 Cursurile de schimb pentru euro