Survey of Professional Forecasters
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The ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) collects information on the expected rates of inflation, real GDP growth and unemployment in the euro area at several horizons, ranging from the current year to the longer term. Expectations are reported not only as point forecasts, but also as probability distributions, providing a quantitative assessment of risk and uncertainty.
The Survey of Professional Forecasters began in 1999. The aggregate results and microdata are published four times a year. The next release will be published on 25 July 2025 (provisional).
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Our working paper series covers economic research that is relevant to our tasks. They are addressed to experts, so readers should be knowledgeable in economics.
Working papers that mention this survey