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Macroprudential Bulletin

Our Macroprudential Bulletin provides insight into the work we are currently doing in the field of macroprudential policy. Our goal is to raise awareness of macroprudential policy issues in the euro area by making our ongoing work and thinking in this field more transparent, and to encourage broader discussion on these key issues.

We aren’t trying to be transparent about our work just for the sake of it. This is also an opportunity to invite you to share your views with us by sending your feedback to ecb.macroprudential.bulletin@ecb.europa.eu. You can also send us an email if you want to be notified about future issues of the Macroprudential Bulletin.

April 2025

Issue 28

Geopolitical risk and its implications for macroprudential policy

This article explores the link between geopolitical risk and bank solvency, using 120 years of data. It finds that geopolitical risk weakens bank solvency, with major geopolitical shocks having the strongest impact. Macroprudential policy and microprudential supervision are key to helping banks stay resilient and absorb such shocks.

Find out more about geopolitical risk and bank solvency

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